League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
We said: Barnsley 2-1 Northampton Town
Barnsley will hope that the change in management gives them the boost required to arrest their slump and make a crucial return to winning ways at the weekend, and despite their dismal recent run, they do have the quality to get past Northampton and Oakwell and book their place in the League One playoffs.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 63.85% . A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.29% .
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.47%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%) , while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (4.54%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood .
Result Barnsley Draw Northampton Town 63.85% ( 0.49) 19.86% ( -0.18) 16.29% ( -0.32)
Both teams to score 55.07% ( -0.08)
60.21% ( 0.24) 39.78% ( -0.24)
37.86% ( 0.25) 62.13% ( -0.25)
88.18% ( 0.2) 11.81% ( -0.21)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 62.95% ( 0.44) 37.04% ( -0.45)
62.44% ( -0.24) 37.55% ( 0.23)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.67% ( -0.23) 74.33% ( 0.23)
Barnsley 63.84%
Northampton Town 16.29%
Draw 19.86%
Barnsley Draw Northampton Town 2-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.91% Total : 63.84% 1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.86% 1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 16.29%
How you voted: Barnsley vs Northampton
Barnsley
Draw
Northampton Town
19
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-04 21:30:32
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