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League One | 2nd Leg
May 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley

Bolton
2 - 3
Barnsley

Collins (43'), Toal (45+1')
Thomason (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cosgrove (36', 76'), Phillips (64')
O'Keeffe (63'), Phillips (69'), Williams (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 1-3 Bolton
Friday, May 3 at 7.30pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-3 Bolton
Friday, May 3 at 7.30pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 3-1 Barnsley

Barnsley will have to take risks to have any hope of mounting a comeback, but we think that could play into Bolton's hands, which is why we believe that the hosts will add to their two-goal cushion and book their place in the final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
54.53% (-1.36 -1.36) 21.46% (0.393 0.39) 24% (0.969 0.97)
Both teams to score 62.7% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.15% (-0.779 -0.78)35.85% (0.77999999999999 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.07% (-0.864 -0.86)57.93% (0.865 0.87)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (-0.663 -0.66)13.24% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60% (-1.356 -1.36)40% (1.358 1.36)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (0.33800000000001 0.34)27.73% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (0.433 0.43)63.3% (-0.433 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 54.53%
    Barnsley 24%
    Draw 21.46%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 4.16% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.106 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 54.53%
1-1 @ 9.52% (0.222 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.05 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.67% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.199 0.2)
0-1 @ 4.71% (0.224 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.109 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 24%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
81.6%
Draw
14.0%
Barnsley
4.4%
114
Head to Head
May 3, 2024 7.30pm
Barnsley
1-3
Bolton
Cosgrove (75')
Phillips (18'), Connell (58')
Charles (23', 53'), Williams (90+4')
Maghoma (41'), Thomason (45+4'), Cogley (80'), Toal (90+7')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
McAtee (25'), Pines (47')
McAtee (32'), Williams (90+11')
Adeboyejo (62'), Williams (90+8')
Thomason (11'), Iredale (90+10'), Jerome (90+8')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Bolton
1-1
Barnsley
Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')
May 19, 2023 8pm
May 13, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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