League One | 1st Leg
May 3, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Barnsley1 - 3Bolton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-3 Bolton
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One
We said: Barnsley 1-1 Bolton Wanderers
Barnsley and Bolton played out draws in their two head-to-head meetings this season, and we think that there could be a similar result on Friday, especially as the Tykes have drawn their last two home games, while the Trotters have seen four of their previous six away games finish all square. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
36.95% ( -0.05) | 25.59% ( 0.21) | 37.47% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.69% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
