Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.