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League One | Gameweek 11
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Cambridge United

Birmingham
4 - 0
Cambridge

Stansfield (23' pen.), Bennett (39' og.), Dowell (40'), Harris (80')
Laird (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Bishop (57'), Gibbons (84'), Njoku (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 2-3 Newcastle
Saturday, February 8 at 5.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Cambridge
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 3-1 Cambridge United

These two sides are at complete opposite ends of the table heading into the game, leaving Birmingham as major favourites to secure the win, and we expect the hosts to comfortably take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 71.67%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 10.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCambridge United
71.67% (-6.708 -6.71) 18% (3.003 3) 10.33% (3.711 3.71)
Both teams to score 44.01% (6.513 6.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55% (-0.838 -0.84)45.45% (0.846 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (-0.805 -0.81)67.78% (0.813 0.81)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.67% (-1.934 -1.93)11.33% (1.941 1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.99% (-4.399 -4.4)36.01% (4.407 4.41)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.64% (8.251 8.25)50.37% (-8.243 -8.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.09% (5.018 5.02)84.91% (-5.01 -5.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 71.66%
    Cambridge United 10.34%
    Draw 18%
Birmingham CityDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 13.53% (-1.86 -1.86)
1-0 @ 12.42% (-0.6 -0.6)
3-0 @ 9.82% (-2.319 -2.32)
2-1 @ 9.28% (1.054 1.05)
3-1 @ 6.74% (0.25 0.25)
4-0 @ 5.35% (-1.833 -1.83)
4-1 @ 3.67% (-0.169 -0.17)
5-0 @ 2.33% (-1.068 -1.07)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.577 0.58)
5-1 @ 1.6% (-0.217 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.233 0.23)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 71.66%
1-1 @ 8.53% (1.569 1.57)
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.203 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.18% (0.985 0.99)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 18%
0-1 @ 3.92% (0.974 0.97)
1-2 @ 2.92% (1.066 1.07)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.557 0.56)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 10.34%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Cambridge

Birmingham City
83.0%
Draw
9.4%
Cambridge United
7.5%
53
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
Round One
Birmingham
3-1
Cambridge
Donaldson (16'), Caddis (96'), Duffy (106')
Davis (65')
Donaldson (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623


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