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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Birmingham City |
37.45% ( -0.54) | 26.42% ( -0.01) | 36.13% ( 0.56) |
Both teams to score 52.81% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.02% ( 0.07) | 51.97% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.28% ( 0.07) | 73.71% ( -0.06) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.06% ( -0.27) | 26.94% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.72% ( -0.36) | 62.28% ( 0.36) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.29% ( 0.37) | 27.71% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.72% ( 0.47) | 63.27% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.45% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |