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Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brisbane Road
Lincoln City

Leyton Orient
3 - 2
Lincoln

Perkins (17', 28'), Kelman (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Montsma (45+7'), Collins (75')
Jefferies (20'), O'Connor (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Cambridge
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 2-0 Lincoln City

Orient look the real deal this year, and we think that they are in a good position to earn promotion to the Championship, despite sitting just outside the playoff zone at present. A win would potentially lift them into the playoff zone, and we think that they will keep another clean sheet here in a comfortable home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawLincoln City
40.92% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 28.39% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 30.7% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)60.37% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.48% (0.004999999999999 0)80.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02% (0.027999999999992 0.03)28.98% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (0.035000000000004 0.04)64.87% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)35.61% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.62% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)72.38% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 40.92%
    Lincoln City 30.69%
    Draw 28.37%
Leyton OrientDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 40.92%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.37%
0-1 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 30.69%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Lincoln

Leyton Orient
68.8%
Draw
12.5%
Lincoln City
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Lincoln
2-1
Leyton Orient
Makama (47'), Draper (77')
Erhahon (19'), Roughan (66'), Jefferies (67'), Hamilton (90+3')
Agyei (81')
Simpson (30'), Ball (50'), Pratley (90+5')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Lincoln
1-0
Leyton Orient
Makama (90')
Hackett (19')

Sanders (55'), Brown (68'), Sotiriou (73')
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Leyton Orient
0-1
Lincoln

Wellens (35'), Cooper (70'), Happe (78')
Hamilton (89')
Hamilton (34'), Eyoma (53')
Apr 22, 2006 3pm
Lincoln
1-1
Leyton Orient
Forrester (36')
Mackie (2')
Simpson (34'), Zakuani (60'), Alexander (62')
Oct 15, 2005 3pm
Leyton Orient
1-1
Lincoln
Alexander (18')
Butcher (70')
Cryan (80'), Beevers (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wrexham38228852302274
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe372011664362871
4Charlton AthleticCharlton381991049351466
5Stockport CountyStockport381811953351865
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Leyton Orient381851554381659
9Reading371611105246659
10Blackpool381315105750754
11Barnsley38158155254-253
12Lincoln CityLincoln381311145345850
13Stevenage381310153539-449
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham37129164245-345
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough37129165660-445
16Exeter CityExeter37129164051-1145
17Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
18Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
19Northampton TownNorthampton381012163756-1942
20Bristol Rovers38126203961-2242
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3889214071-3133
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3879223662-2630
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828


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