We said: Leyton Orient 2-0 Lincoln City
Orient look the real deal this year, and we think that they are in a good position to earn promotion to the Championship, despite sitting just outside the playoff zone at present.
A win would potentially lift them into the playoff zone, and we think that they will keep another clean sheet here in a comfortable home win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.