Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.