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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 67.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 13.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.53%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
13.03% ( -0.02) | 19.36% ( -0.01) | 67.62% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.29% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.51% ( -0.01) | 44.49% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.14% ( -0.01) | 66.86% ( 0.01) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.98% ( -0.04) | 45.02% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.05% ( -0.03) | 80.95% ( 0.03) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.83% ( 0.01) | 12.16% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.21% ( 0.02) | 37.79% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 4.37% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 3-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.03% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 19.36% | 0-2 @ 12.15% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 11.53% 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 67.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Reading | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Stevenage | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Blackpool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 30 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
21 | Burton Albion | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 25 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
> League One Full Table |