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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 21, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
LNER Stadium
Reading logo

Lincoln
2 - 0
Reading

Cadamarteri (8'), Hackett (72')
House (55'), O'Connor (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dean (55')
Holzman (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 2-2 Lincoln
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 0-3 Blackpool
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Reading

Although Lincoln are very much out of form, we cannot ignore that Reading are still getting to grips with life under Hunt. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to edge this contest in the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Reading had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawReading
48.77% (1.174 1.17) 24.09% (0.146 0.15) 27.14% (-1.316 -1.32)
Both teams to score 56.72% (-1.534 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (-1.555 -1.56)45.18% (1.56 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-1.507 -1.51)67.53% (1.512 1.51)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)18.62% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.08% (-0.234 -0.23)49.92% (0.239 0.24)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (-1.761 -1.76)30.31% (1.767 1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.52% (-2.156 -2.16)66.49% (2.161 2.16)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 48.77%
    Reading 27.14%
    Draw 24.08%
Lincoln CityDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.58 0.58)
2-0 @ 7.97% (0.454 0.45)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.091 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 48.77%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.369 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 27.14%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Reading

Lincoln City
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Reading
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Reading
1-1
Lincoln
Bindon (83')
Wing (67'), Wing (90+4'), Elliott (90+4')
Draper (72')
(69')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Lincoln
1-1
Reading
Abby (3' og.)
Duffy (38'), Jensen (41'), Hamilton (90+3')
Knibbs (56')
Abby (22'), Knibbs (75'), Yiadom (75')
Selles (23')
Jul 10, 2021 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Reading
1-0
Lincoln
Camara (71')
Jul 20, 2019 9am
Pre-season Friendlies
Lincoln
1-0
Reading
Anderson (88')
Jul 16, 2016 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Lincoln
4-1
Reading
Caton (1'), Muldoon (3'), Waterfall (49'), Wood (84')
Smith (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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