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League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Mansfield Town

Bolton
3 - 1
Mansfield

Charles (75'), Adeboyejo (80'), McAtee (85')
Collins (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boateng (34')
Bowery (46'), Evans (59'), Boateng (59'), Oshilaja (90+1')
Boateng (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Bolton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Mansfield Town

Mansfield are on a poor run of form in the league, having lost three and drawn one of their last four, and with Bolton having avoided defeat in their last seven home games, we believe the hosts will win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawMansfield Town
46.84% (0.278 0.28) 24.98% (0.11 0.11) 28.18% (-0.388 -0.39)
Both teams to score 54.56% (-0.629 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (-0.7 -0.7)48.38% (0.7 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (-0.643 -0.64)70.52% (0.64400000000001 0.64)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (-0.163 -0.16)20.69% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.7% (-0.261 -0.26)53.29% (0.261 0.26)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (-0.64999999999999 -0.65)31.2% (0.652 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46% (-0.765 -0.77)67.54% (0.765 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 46.84%
    Mansfield Town 28.18%
    Draw 24.98%
Bolton WanderersDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.241 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.185 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.18%

How you voted: Bolton vs Mansfield

Bolton Wanderers
78.0%
Draw
15.3%
Mansfield Town
6.8%
59
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Bolton
1-1
Mansfield
(Aggregate 1-1 | Bolton win 5-4 on penalties)
Thomason (68')
Evatt (29'), Johnston (39'), McAtee (41')
Keillor-Dunn (83')
MacDonald (28'), Oshilaja (67'), Boateng (78'), Keillor-Dunn (90+3')
Feb 17, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 26
Mansfield
2-3
Bolton
Clarke (65'), Reid (72')
Charsley (2'), Perch (11')
John (79'), Benning (85' og.), Gnahoua (89')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 11
Bolton
1-1
Mansfield
Sarcevic (90')
Lapslie (57')
Lapslie (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623


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