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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Lincoln City |
44.56% ( -1.11) | 26.11% ( 0.02) | 29.33% ( 1.08) |
Both teams to score 51.74% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.58% ( 0.44) | 52.42% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.9% ( 0.38) | 74.09% ( -0.38) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.57% ( -0.34) | 23.43% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.57% ( -0.49) | 57.43% ( 0.49) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.56% ( 1.05) | 32.43% ( -1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.05% ( 1.16) | 68.95% ( -1.16) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.85% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |