Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.