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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Reading logo

Bolton
5 - 2
Reading

Sheehan (12'), Charles (21' pen., 34', 45+4' pen.), Dempsey (87')
Santos (16'), Baxter (81'), Williams (88'), Arfield (90+1')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Elliott (41'), Smith (57' pen.)
Wing (11'), Knibbs (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 0-4 Huddersfield
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Reading

Bolton will be in a downbeat mood after losing three consecutive matches, and we think that their lack of confidence may present Reading with an opportunity to take a useful point from Saturday's away fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
43.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.25% (0.0030000000000001 0) 32.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 59.31% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)19.96% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.88% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)52.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12%60.88% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 43.61%
    Reading 32.13%
    Draw 24.25%
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3%
Total : 43.61%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.13%

How you voted: Bolton vs Reading

Bolton Wanderers
60.0%
Draw
6.7%
Reading
33.3%
15
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 42
Bolton
5-2
Reading
Collins (11', 45+4' pen., 77'), Dadi Bodvarsson (49', 90+5')
Ogbeta (16'), Sheehan (53')
Wing (40'), Mukairu (90+2')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Reading
2-1
Bolton
Savage (77'), Vickers (86')
Ballard (30'), Yiadom (79'), Azeez (87'), Mbengue (87'), (90+7'), Savage (90+2')
Charles (20')
Santos (13'), Toal (16'), Williams (38'), Jerome (76'), Thomason (76')
Toal (90+4')
Jan 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 29
Bolton
1-1
Reading
Hobbs (90')
Noone (35'), Taylor (58')
Oliveira (74' pen.)
Gunter (53'), Rinomhota (60'), Swift (63')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Reading
0-1
Bolton

Blackett (25'), Kelly (65')
Wildschut (48')
Wheater (11')
Mar 6, 2018 8pm
Reading
1-1
Bolton
Barrow (32')
Barrow (33'), Edwards (64'), Evans (81')
Le Fondre (45')
Buckley (57'), Flanagan (89'), Henry (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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