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League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
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Birmingham
1 - 1
Reading

May (87' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ehibhaimha (42')
Wing (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Birmingham 4-1 West Brom
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Reading

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Reading

 In front of a sold-out crowd at St Andrew's, Birmingham will be overwhelming favourites against cash-strapped Reading, but it is unlikely to be a simple task for the hosts on the opening weekend. The Royals have a close-knit group who will fight for an upset in the Second City, but we feel that Blues' quality will come up trumps in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Reading has a probability of 31.77% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Reading win is 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawReading
43.02% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 25.21% (0.111 0.11) 31.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.85% (-0.392 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.37% (-0.506 -0.51)47.62% (0.499 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.17% (-0.47 -0.47)69.83% (0.46300000000001 0.46)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.256 -0.26)22.1% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (-0.387 -0.39)55.46% (0.381 0.38)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)28.31% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.96% (-0.339 -0.34)64.03% (0.332 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 43.02%
    Reading 31.77%
    Draw 25.2%
Birmingham CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.125 0.13)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.02%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.129 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.77%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Reading

Birmingham City
73.0%
Draw
8.1%
Reading
18.9%
37
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Reading
1-1
Birmingham
Carroll (7')
Jutkiewicz (29')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Birmingham
3-2
Reading
Deeney (2', 23' pen.), Chong (36')
Joao (82'), Ince (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 34
Reading
2-1
Birmingham
Joao (67'), Swift (73' pen.)
McIntyre (82' og.)
Pedersen (31'), Bela (51'), Hernandez (72')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 17
Birmingham
1-2
Reading
Hogan (3')
Bela (30'), Dean (34'), Oakley (38'), McGree (55')
Clarke (70', 82')
Holmes (76')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Birmingham
2-1
Reading
Jutkiewicz (4'), Dean (72')
Colin (22'), Gardner (28')
Meite (35')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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