League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bolton5 - 2Reading
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Bolton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Northampton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
56
We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Reading
Although Bolton have struggled for consistency in recent weeks, they tend to perform well on home turf, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to record a narrow victory in Monday's encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Reading win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Reading |
68.97% ( -0.16) | 17.35% ( 0.07) | 13.68% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.61% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
