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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
42.99% ( -0.2) | 25.43% ( -0.14) | 31.58% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 55.04% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.37% ( 0.73) | 48.63% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.25% ( 0.66) | 70.75% ( -0.66) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% ( 0.22) | 22.55% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.87% ( 0.32) | 56.13% ( -0.32) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% ( 0.59) | 28.93% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.19% ( 0.73) | 64.81% ( -0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.99% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |