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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
39.21% ( 0.01) | 28.66% ( -0) | 32.13% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 45.41% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.02% ( 0.01) | 60.98% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.02% ( 0.01) | 80.98% ( -0) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.73% ( 0.01) | 30.27% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% ( 0.01) | 66.44% ( -0.01) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.12% | 34.88% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.38% ( 0) | 71.62% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 12.61% 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.18% Total : 32.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |