League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle1 - 1Wigan
Coverage of the League One clash between Carlisle United and Wigan Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
39.21% ( 0.01) | 28.66% ( -0) | 32.13% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.41% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.02% ( 0.01) | 60.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.02% ( 0.01) | 80.98% ( -0) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( 0.01) | 30.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.56% ( 0.01) | 66.44% ( -0.01) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.12% | 34.88% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.38% ( 0) | 71.62% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Carlisle United 39.2%
Wigan Athletic 32.12%
Draw 28.65%
| Carlisle United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.61% 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0)3-0 @ 3% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.18% Total : 32.12% |
How you voted: Carlisle vs Wigan
Carlisle United
55.6%Draw
0.0%Wigan Athletic
44.4%9
Form Guide
