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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Cambridge United |
42.8% ( 0) | 26.89% ( 0) | 30.32% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 49.88% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.95% ( -0.01) | 55.05% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.69% ( -0) | 76.31% ( 0) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.53% | 25.47% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.7% ( -0) | 60.3% |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.92% ( -0.01) | 33.08% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.33% ( -0.01) | 69.67% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.79% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |