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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Burton Albion
4 - 0
Accrington

Jebbison (28', 50'), Smith (45+4', 49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Coyle (66'), Mumbongo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Accrington Stanley

With both sides keen to avoid another defeat, we see this being a cagey encounter and cannot quite pick a winner. The hosts have struggled going forward, while their visitors' defensive record is not one to be proud of, so something must give at the Pirelli Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawAccrington Stanley
37.99%25.93%36.08%
Both teams to score 54.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.13%49.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13%71.86%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34%25.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44%60.56%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25%26.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98%62.01%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 37.99%
    Accrington Stanley 36.08%
    Draw 25.93%
Burton AlbionDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.33%
2-1 @ 8.37%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 37.99%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 9.05%
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 36.08%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Accrington

Burton Albion
35.7%
Draw
42.9%
Accrington Stanley
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Burton Albion
2-1
Accrington
Powell (72'), Brayford (87')
Quinn (56'), Garratt (90+4')
Pritchard (83')
Burgess (76'), Allan (85')
Sep 4, 2020 7.30pm
First Round
Burton Albion
1-1
Accrington
Burton Albion win 4-2 on penalties
Akins (32')
Eardley (81')
Burgess (82')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 29
Burton Albion
1-1
Accrington
Brayford (30')
O'Toole (36'), Edwards (45'), Quinn (59')
Charles (15')
Opoku (22'), Charles (45'), Hughes (45')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Accrington
2-0
Burton Albion
McConville (39'), Sykes (65')
Opoku (50'), Finley (71')

Nartey (62'), Akins (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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