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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Barnsley

Shaughnessy (50'), Taylor (87')
Kirk (15'), Powell (48'), Ashworth (65'), Brayford (69'), MacGillivray (81'), Shaughnessy (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cadden (89')
Watters (81'), Andersen (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-3 Barnsley

Barnsley claimed a 2-0 victory when they faced Burton at Oakwell in December, and although they do not have home advantage on this occasion, we think that they have enough quality in their squad to complete a league double over the Brewers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
24.87% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 23.37% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 51.76% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)43.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)66.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (0.043999999999997 0.04)31.39% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (0.052 0.05)67.76% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)16.98% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.9% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)47.1% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 24.87%
    Barnsley 51.76%
    Draw 23.37%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 24.87%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.38% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32%
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 51.76%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Barnsley

Burton Albion
15.4%
Draw
0.0%
Barnsley
84.6%
13
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
Feb 20, 2018 7.45pm
Barnsley
1-2
Burton Albion
Pinillos (75')
Williams (55')
Allen (1'), Davenport (45')
McFadzean (50'), Naylor (62'), Akins (74'), Allen (88')
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Barnsley
Lund (37'), Dyer (45')
Isgrove (21'), Potts (40'), Williams (73'), Barnes (87')
Isgrove (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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