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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Barnsley |
24.87% ( 0.06) | 23.37% ( 0.01) | 51.76% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 56.95% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.13% ( -0) | 43.87% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.74% ( -0) | 66.26% ( 0) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.61% ( 0.04) | 31.39% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.24% ( 0.05) | 67.76% ( -0.05) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.02% ( -0.03) | 16.98% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.9% ( -0.05) | 47.1% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 24.87% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |