League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Cole (36', 73')
Connell (48')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Taylor (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Barnsley
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-4 Accrington
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion

Although Burton have struggled for victories, they have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent weeks with their last four league games ending all square, but we think that Barnsley will have enough quality to claim a fifth consecutive victory in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Burton Albion
60.11% ( 0.56)	22.08% ( 0.24)	17.81% ( -0.81)

Both teams to score 50.82% (

-2.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53% (

-2.3)

47% (

2.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76% (

-2.19)

69.24% (

2.18)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.79% (

-0.59)

15.21% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.14% (

-1.12)

43.86% (

1.12)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.94% (

-2.28)

40.06% (

2.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.29% (

-2.15)

76.71% (

2.15)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 60.1%

Burton Albion 17.81%

Draw 22.07%

Barnsley	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.26) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.37% Total : 60.1%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.07%	0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.05% Total : 17.81%