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League One
Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Burton Albion

Barnsley
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Cole (36', 73')
Connell (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Taylor (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Barnsley
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-4 Accrington
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion

 Although Burton have struggled for victories, they have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent weeks with their last four league games ending all square, but we think that Barnsley will have enough quality to claim a fifth consecutive victory in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBurton Albion
60.11% (0.563 0.56) 22.08% (0.243 0.24) 17.81% (-0.809 -0.81)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-2.298 -2.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-2.304 -2.3)47% (2.302 2.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76% (-2.187 -2.19)69.24% (2.185 2.18)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)15.21% (0.589 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.14% (-1.12 -1.12)43.86% (1.119 1.12)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94% (-2.277 -2.28)40.06% (2.276 2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.29% (-2.151 -2.15)76.71% (2.149 2.15)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 60.1%
    Burton Albion 17.81%
    Draw 22.07%
BarnsleyDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.85 0.85)
2-0 @ 10.8% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.78% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.261 -0.26)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.154 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 60.1%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.569 0.57)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.315 -0.32)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.57% (0.197 0.2)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Burton Albion

Barnsley
88.2%
Draw
5.9%
Burton Albion
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
Barnsley
0-0
Burton Albion

Mowatt (51')

Daniel (27')
Feb 20, 2018 7.45pm
Barnsley
1-2
Burton Albion
Pinillos (75')
Williams (55')
Allen (1'), Davenport (45')
McFadzean (50'), Naylor (62'), Akins (74'), Allen (88')
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Barnsley
Lund (37'), Dyer (45')
Isgrove (21'), Potts (40'), Williams (73'), Barnes (87')
Isgrove (66')
Apr 29, 2017 3pm
Barnsley
1-1
Burton Albion
Moncur (38')
Jones (32')
Varney (52')
Flanagan (49'), Varney (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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