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League One
Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Burton Albion

Barnsley
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Cole (36', 73')
Connell (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Taylor (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Barnsley
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-4 Accrington
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion

 Although Burton have struggled for victories, they have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent weeks with their last four league games ending all square, but we think that Barnsley will have enough quality to claim a fifth consecutive victory in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBurton Albion
60.11% (0.563 0.56) 22.08% (0.243 0.24) 17.81% (-0.809 -0.81)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-2.298 -2.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-2.304 -2.3)47% (2.302 2.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76% (-2.187 -2.19)69.24% (2.185 2.18)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)15.21% (0.589 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.14% (-1.12 -1.12)43.86% (1.119 1.12)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94% (-2.277 -2.28)40.06% (2.276 2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.29% (-2.151 -2.15)76.71% (2.149 2.15)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 60.1%
    Burton Albion 17.81%
    Draw 22.07%
BarnsleyDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.85 0.85)
2-0 @ 10.8% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.78% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.261 -0.26)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.154 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 60.1%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.569 0.57)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.315 -0.32)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.57% (0.197 0.2)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Burton Albion

Barnsley
88.2%
Draw
5.9%
Burton Albion
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
Barnsley
0-0
Burton Albion

Mowatt (51')

Daniel (27')
Feb 20, 2018 7.45pm
Barnsley
1-2
Burton Albion
Pinillos (75')
Williams (55')
Allen (1'), Davenport (45')
McFadzean (50'), Naylor (62'), Akins (74'), Allen (88')
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Barnsley
Lund (37'), Dyer (45')
Isgrove (21'), Potts (40'), Williams (73'), Barnes (87')
Isgrove (66')
Apr 29, 2017 3pm
Barnsley
1-1
Burton Albion
Moncur (38')
Jones (32')
Varney (52')
Flanagan (49'), Varney (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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