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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Burton Albion |
60.11% ( 0.56) | 22.08% ( 0.24) | 17.81% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 50.82% ( -2.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53% ( -2.3) | 47% ( 2.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.76% ( -2.19) | 69.24% ( 2.18) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.79% ( -0.59) | 15.21% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.14% ( -1.12) | 43.86% ( 1.12) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.94% ( -2.28) | 40.06% ( 2.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.29% ( -2.15) | 76.71% ( 2.15) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.26) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.37% Total : 60.1% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.05% Total : 17.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |