Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 9.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.