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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 9.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Morecambe |
72.98% ( 0.12) | 17.08% ( -0.07) | 9.93% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 45.55% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.46% ( 0.16) | 42.54% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.05% ( 0.16) | 64.94% ( -0.16) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.79% ( 0.07) | 10.21% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.5% ( 0.16) | 33.5% ( -0.16) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.72% | 49.27% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.85% | 84.15% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Morecambe |
2-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 72.97% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 17.08% | 0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 9.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |