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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
54.07% ( -0.01) | 23.15% ( 0) | 22.78% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.23% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55% ( 0.01) | 45% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.65% ( 0.01) | 67.35% ( -0.01) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.43% ( 0) | 16.57% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.65% ( 0.01) | 46.35% ( -0) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.2% ( 0.02) | 33.8% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.54% ( 0.02) | 70.46% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.88% 3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.64% 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.18% Total : 54.06% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 22.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |