League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
2 - 5
Peterborough

Powell (28'), Smith (54')
Hughes (67')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Clarke-Harris (12', 51'), Mason-Clark (19'), Burrows (38'), Ward (64')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Wycombe
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Peterborough United

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Peterborough United

Burton have the fourth-worst home record in League One this season, and it is difficult to back them at the moment due to their recent struggles. Peterborough have actually lost eight of their 13 away league games this term, but we just have a feeling that the visitors will be able to secure a narrow victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Peterborough United
30.05% ( 0.02)	25.8% ( 0.01)	44.14% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.1% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.16% (

-0.02)

50.84% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.28% (

-0.02)

72.72% (

0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91% (

0.01)

31.09% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.58% (

0.01)

67.42% (

-0)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05% (

-0.02)

22.95% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.28% (

-0.04)

56.72% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 30.05%

Peterborough United 44.14%

Draw 25.79%

Burton Albion	Draw	Peterborough United
1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.05%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.14%