League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale2 - 3Burton Albion
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-5 Peterborough
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Port Vale 2-1 Burton Albion
Port Vale have taken four points from their last two matches, and after winning their previous two home games, we think that they will utilise home advantage to claim a narrow victory on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Burton Albion |
50.24% ( -0.01) | 25.5% ( 0) | 24.26% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
