League One

League One | Gameweek 37

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Harrison (2'), Proctor (80')
Politic (65'), Agyakwa (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Taylor (8', 67'), Smith (48' pen.)
Ashworth (21'), Kirk (43'), Shaughnessy (54')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-5 Peterborough
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Port Vale 2-1 Burton Albion

Port Vale have taken four points from their last two matches, and after winning their previous two home games, we think that they will utilise home advantage to claim a narrow victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Burton Albion
50.24% ( -0.01)	25.5% ( 0)	24.26% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.62% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.75% (

-0.01)

53.25% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19% (

-0.01)

74.81% (

0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.78% (

-0.01)

21.22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.89% (

-0.01)

54.11% (

0.01)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.98% (

37.01% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2% (

73.8% (

Score Analysis

Port Vale 50.23%

Burton Albion 24.26%

Draw 25.49%

Port Vale	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 12.17% 2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.41% Total : 50.23%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 24.26%