Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.