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Championship header 2

League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Burton Albion

Northampton
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Leonard (54'), Hoskins (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Powell (25'), Lubala (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-3 Barrow
Saturday, November 4 at 1.30pm in FA Cup

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Burton Albion

 This looks like a very even contest that both sides will feel they can win but would rather not lose. We are expecting a tight match here and feel that these sides will not be separated after 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
42.1% (0.0019999999999953 0) 27.46% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.43% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.22% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.82% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)57.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)78.04% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.81% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)62.1% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)34.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)70.8% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 42.09%
    Burton Albion 30.43%
    Draw 27.46%
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.03%
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 42.09%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 9.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.43%

Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Northampton
0-2
Burton Albion

Kioso (64'), Hoskins (82')
Bostwick (77'), Edwards (90+4')
Clare (82')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Burton Albion
1-3
Northampton
Akins (90+2' pen.)
Vassilev (21'), Quinn (88')
Smith (2', 67'), Lines (81')
Chukwuemeka (53')
Jan 5, 2020 2.01pm
Third Round
Burton Albion
2-4
Northampton
Edwards (45'), Fraser (91')
Adams (10'), Watson (23'), Goode (45'), Hoskins (70')
Lines (44'), Wharton (58'), Turnbull (62')
> Match Report
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Northampton
Akins (4', 41' pen.), Edwards (31')
D'Ath (53')
Taylor (78'), Cresswell (87')
Oct 11, 2014 2pm
Northampton
1-2
Burton Albion
Cresswell (80')
D'Ath (66'), Stevens (91')
Blyth (44'), MacDonald (85')
Akins (80')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138
> League One Full Table


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