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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Burton Albion

Northampton
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Leonard (54'), Hoskins (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Powell (25'), Lubala (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-3 Barrow
Saturday, November 4 at 1.30pm in FA Cup

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Burton Albion

 This looks like a very even contest that both sides will feel they can win but would rather not lose. We are expecting a tight match here and feel that these sides will not be separated after 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
42.1% (0.0019999999999953 0) 27.46% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.43% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.22% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.82% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)57.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)78.04% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.81% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)62.1% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)34.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)70.8% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 42.09%
    Burton Albion 30.43%
    Draw 27.46%
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.03%
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 42.09%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 9.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.43%

Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Northampton
0-2
Burton Albion

Kioso (64'), Hoskins (82')
Bostwick (77'), Edwards (90+4')
Clare (82')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Burton Albion
1-3
Northampton
Akins (90+2' pen.)
Vassilev (21'), Quinn (88')
Smith (2', 67'), Lines (81')
Chukwuemeka (53')
Jan 5, 2020 2.01pm
Third Round
Burton Albion
2-4
Northampton
Edwards (45'), Fraser (91')
Adams (10'), Watson (23'), Goode (45'), Hoskins (70')
Lines (44'), Wharton (58'), Turnbull (62')
> Match Report
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Northampton
Akins (4', 41' pen.), Edwards (31')
D'Ath (53')
Taylor (78'), Cresswell (87')
Oct 11, 2014 2pm
Northampton
1-2
Burton Albion
Cresswell (80')
D'Ath (66'), Stevens (91')
Blyth (44'), MacDonald (85')
Akins (80')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Leyton Orient218492620628
11Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
12Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
13Blackpool207672931-227
14Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
15Stevenage197571517-226
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2154122036-1619
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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