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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Burton Albion

Northampton
0 - 0
Burton Albion


Hondermarck (26'), Brady (27'), Kalinauskas (34'), Chouchane (54')
FT

Watt (33'), McGeehan (34'), Orsi (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Burton Albion

Northampton have made a solid start to their league campaign and having fought back so heroically against Barnsley last time out, confidence is sure to be high for the Cobblers. Burton meanwhile have been shipping goals at an alarming rate, having conceded 11 goals in just four games, and their defensive frailties could once again be their undoing here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
38.38% (0.0010000000000048 0) 27.53%34.1%
Both teams to score 49.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.43%56.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45%77.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61% (0.0010000000000048 0)64.4%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76%31.24% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41%67.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.38%
    Burton Albion 34.09%
    Draw 27.52%
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 7.57%
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.09%

How you voted: Northampton vs Burton Albion

Northampton Town
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Burton Albion
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Burton Albion
0-2
Northampton
Leonard (22'), Pinnock (36')
Moulden (47'), Leonard (90+4')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Northampton
2-0
Burton Albion
Leonard (54'), Hoskins (78')

Powell (25'), Lubala (90')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Northampton
0-2
Burton Albion

Kioso (64'), Hoskins (82')
Bostwick (77'), Edwards (90+4')
Clare (82')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Burton Albion
1-3
Northampton
Akins (90+2' pen.)
Vassilev (21'), Quinn (88')
Smith (2', 67'), Lines (81')
Chukwuemeka (53')
Jan 5, 2020 2.01pm
Third Round
Burton Albion
2-4
Northampton
Edwards (45'), Fraser (91')
Adams (10'), Watson (23'), Goode (45'), Hoskins (70')
Lines (44'), Wharton (58'), Turnbull (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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