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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Burton Albion

Northampton
0 - 0
Burton Albion


Hondermarck (26'), Brady (27'), Kalinauskas (34'), Chouchane (54')
FT

Watt (33'), McGeehan (34'), Orsi (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Burton Albion

Northampton have made a solid start to their league campaign and having fought back so heroically against Barnsley last time out, confidence is sure to be high for the Cobblers. Burton meanwhile have been shipping goals at an alarming rate, having conceded 11 goals in just four games, and their defensive frailties could once again be their undoing here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
38.38% (0.0010000000000048 0) 27.53%34.1%
Both teams to score 49.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.43%56.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45%77.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61% (0.0010000000000048 0)64.4%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76%31.24% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41%67.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.38%
    Burton Albion 34.09%
    Draw 27.52%
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 7.57%
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.09%

How you voted: Northampton vs Burton Albion

Northampton Town
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Burton Albion
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Burton Albion
0-2
Northampton
Leonard (22'), Pinnock (36')
Moulden (47'), Leonard (90+4')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Northampton
2-0
Burton Albion
Leonard (54'), Hoskins (78')

Powell (25'), Lubala (90')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Northampton
0-2
Burton Albion

Kioso (64'), Hoskins (82')
Bostwick (77'), Edwards (90+4')
Clare (82')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Burton Albion
1-3
Northampton
Akins (90+2' pen.)
Vassilev (21'), Quinn (88')
Smith (2', 67'), Lines (81')
Chukwuemeka (53')
Jan 5, 2020 2.01pm
Third Round
Burton Albion
2-4
Northampton
Edwards (45'), Fraser (91')
Adams (10'), Watson (23'), Goode (45'), Hoskins (70')
Lines (44'), Wharton (58'), Turnbull (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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