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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Burton Albion

Northampton
0 - 0
Burton Albion


Hondermarck (26'), Brady (27'), Kalinauskas (34'), Chouchane (54')
FT

Watt (33'), McGeehan (34'), Orsi (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Burton Albion

Northampton have made a solid start to their league campaign and having fought back so heroically against Barnsley last time out, confidence is sure to be high for the Cobblers. Burton meanwhile have been shipping goals at an alarming rate, having conceded 11 goals in just four games, and their defensive frailties could once again be their undoing here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
38.38% (0.0010000000000048 0) 27.53%34.1%
Both teams to score 49.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.43%56.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45%77.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61% (0.0010000000000048 0)64.4%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76%31.24% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41%67.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.38%
    Burton Albion 34.09%
    Draw 27.52%
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 7.57%
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.09%

How you voted: Northampton vs Burton Albion

Northampton Town
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Burton Albion
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Burton Albion
0-2
Northampton
Leonard (22'), Pinnock (36')
Moulden (47'), Leonard (90+4')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Northampton
2-0
Burton Albion
Leonard (54'), Hoskins (78')

Powell (25'), Lubala (90')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Northampton
0-2
Burton Albion

Kioso (64'), Hoskins (82')
Bostwick (77'), Edwards (90+4')
Clare (82')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Burton Albion
1-3
Northampton
Akins (90+2' pen.)
Vassilev (21'), Quinn (88')
Smith (2', 67'), Lines (81')
Chukwuemeka (53')
Jan 5, 2020 2.01pm
Third Round
Burton Albion
2-4
Northampton
Edwards (45'), Fraser (91')
Adams (10'), Watson (23'), Goode (45'), Hoskins (70')
Lines (44'), Wharton (58'), Turnbull (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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