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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Burton Albion

Northampton
0 - 0
Burton Albion


Hondermarck (26'), Brady (27'), Kalinauskas (34'), Chouchane (54')
FT

Watt (33'), McGeehan (34'), Orsi (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Burton Albion

Northampton have made a solid start to their league campaign and having fought back so heroically against Barnsley last time out, confidence is sure to be high for the Cobblers. Burton meanwhile have been shipping goals at an alarming rate, having conceded 11 goals in just four games, and their defensive frailties could once again be their undoing here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
38.38% (0.0010000000000048 0) 27.53%34.1%
Both teams to score 49.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.43%56.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45%77.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61% (0.0010000000000048 0)64.4%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76%31.24% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41%67.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.38%
    Burton Albion 34.09%
    Draw 27.52%
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 7.57%
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.09%

How you voted: Northampton vs Burton Albion

Northampton Town
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Burton Albion
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Burton Albion
0-2
Northampton
Leonard (22'), Pinnock (36')
Moulden (47'), Leonard (90+4')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Northampton
2-0
Burton Albion
Leonard (54'), Hoskins (78')

Powell (25'), Lubala (90')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Northampton
0-2
Burton Albion

Kioso (64'), Hoskins (82')
Bostwick (77'), Edwards (90+4')
Clare (82')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Burton Albion
1-3
Northampton
Akins (90+2' pen.)
Vassilev (21'), Quinn (88')
Smith (2', 67'), Lines (81')
Chukwuemeka (53')
Jan 5, 2020 2.01pm
Third Round
Burton Albion
2-4
Northampton
Edwards (45'), Fraser (91')
Adams (10'), Watson (23'), Goode (45'), Hoskins (70')
Lines (44'), Wharton (58'), Turnbull (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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