League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Wigan

Powell (68', 84' pen.)
Lubala (22'), Gordon (26'), Bennett (90+3')
Lubala (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hughes (44')
Adeeko (21'), Clare (57'), Humphrys (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Reading 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wigan Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Wigan Athletic

Although Wigan have hit a slump in recent weeks, Maloney's side still retain plenty of individual quality at this level, and we can envisage them returning to winning ways on Tuesday. Burton were extremely fortunate to avoid defeat against fellow strugglers Reading last time out, and it could still be a difficult season for them despite being unbeaten in their last three matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Wigan Athletic
33.17% ( -2.01)	25.73% ( -0.4)	41.09% ( 2.41)

Both teams to score 54.59% (

0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.52% (

1.35)

49.48% (

-1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.48% (

1.2)

71.52% (

-1.19)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68% (

-0.59)

28.32% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.95% (

-0.76)

64.05% (

0.76)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.15% (

1.88)

23.85% (

-1.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.97% (

2.62)

58.03% (

-2.61)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 33.17%

Wigan Athletic 41.09%

Draw 25.73%

Burton Albion	Draw	Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.63) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.17%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.2) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.09%