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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Burton Albion

Port Vale
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Garrity (40'), Arblaster (86')
Clark (64'), Ripley (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lubala (11'), Seddon (51'), Baah (61')
Hughes (17'), Helm (75'), Powell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-0 Burton Albion

With Port Vale proving to be an irresistible force in the early stages of the season, we think that they will continue their fine run of form by collecting all three points against a struggling Burton side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
49.6% (5.002 5) 25.51% (-0.858 -0.86) 24.88% (-4.145 -4.15)
Both teams to score 50.18% (-0.58600000000001 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (0.767 0.77)52.82% (-0.767 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (0.652 0.65)74.44% (-0.652 -0.65)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69% (2.606 2.61)21.31% (-2.606 -2.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (3.874 3.87)54.26% (-3.873 -3.87)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (-2.954 -2.95)36.22% (2.955 2.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (-3.125 -3.13)73.01% (3.126 3.13)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 49.6%
    Burton Albion 24.89%
    Draw 25.5%
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.55 0.55)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.406 0.41)
2-0 @ 9.23% (1.083 1.08)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.554 0.55)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.871 0.87)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.338 0.34)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.448 0.45)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 49.6%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.918 -0.92)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.741 -0.74)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.839 -0.84)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.446 -0.45)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.421 -0.42)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 24.89%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Burton Albion

Port Vale
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Burton Albion
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Port Vale
2-3
Burton Albion
Harrison (2'), Proctor (80')
Taylor (8', 67'), Smith (48' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Burton Albion
1-2
Port Vale
Leak (23')
Shaughnessy (88')
Politic (79', 82')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
1-2
Burton Albion
Cullen (53')
Gibbons (43'), Bennett (83'), Amoo (92')
Boyce (9'), Fraser (62')
Akins (79'), Daniel (91')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
1-0
Burton Albion
Miller (65')
Clark (63'), Miller (87')

McCrory (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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