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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 72.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 9.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.64%) and 3-0 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
72.6% ( 0.14) | 17.66% ( -0.23) | 9.75% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 42.91% ( 1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.31% ( 1.24) | 45.69% ( -1.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.99% ( 1.17) | 68.01% ( -1.17) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.85% ( 0.38) | 11.15% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.39% ( 0.83) | 35.62% ( -0.83) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.3% ( 0.98) | 51.7% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.19% ( 0.63) | 85.81% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.48) 3-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.39% Total : 72.58% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.53% Total : 17.66% | 0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 9.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Reading | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Stevenage | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Blackpool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 30 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
21 | Burton Albion | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 25 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
> League One Full Table |