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Championship header 2

League One
Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Forest Green Rovers

Port Vale
2 - 2
Forest Green

Odubeko (78'), Harrison (88' pen.)
Garrity (27'), Forrester (36'), Wilson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Peart-Harris (14'), Cargill (37')
Hendry (26'), Wickham (45'), O'Keeffe (74'), Moore-Taylor (76'), McGee (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 4-1 Forest Green
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

 Port Vale have won three of their last five games, including that impressive win at Pride Park last weekend, and while they may not have the most potent attack, they face a Forest Green side who have been very generous in giving up goals. Rovers have won just one of their last six in League One, conceding 14 in the process, and their only away league win of the season came back in July on the opening day so they may struggle again here on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawForest Green Rovers
53.06% (0.092999999999996 0.09) 24.19% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04) 22.75% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (0.108 0.11)49.45% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51% (0.097000000000001 0.1)71.49% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.076000000000008 0.08)18.58% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (0.128 0.13)49.85% (-0.129 -0.13)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (0.011000000000003 0.01)36.3% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.08% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 53.06%
    Forest Green Rovers 22.75%
    Draw 24.19%
Port ValeDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.36% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 53.06%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.75%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Forest Green

Port Vale
81.3%
Draw
0.0%
Forest Green Rovers
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Forest Green
Edmondson (12')
Stevens (80')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Forest Green
0-2
Port Vale
Proctor (6', 9')
Proctor (14'), Walker (42'), Rodney (83')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Forest Green
1-1
Port Vale
Cadden (20')
Rodney (77')
Dec 15, 2020 7pm
Port Vale
1-1
Forest Green
Stokes (34' og.)
Smith (22')
Collins (41')
Adams (75'), Collins (90+3')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Forest Green
2-3
Port Vale
Winchester (78' pen., 90')
Kitching (45')
Brisley (14'), Pope (38', 70')
Montano (80'), Legge (83'), Brisley (84'), Pope (90')
Clark (87'), Pope (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


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