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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Cambridge United

Morecambe
1 - 2
Cambridge

Weir (12')
Weir (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lankester (32'), Knibbs (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Hartlepool
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Cambridge
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Cambridge United

Recent setbacks in League One have taken the gloss off a bright start for Cambridge this term, and they will surely not suffer a third straight loss at the hands of Morecambe. The hosts have enjoyed improved fortunes of late, but remain vulnerable defensively and are likely to concede more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cambridge United in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCambridge United
37.92% (0.179 0.18) 27.59% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 34.49% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 48.97% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (0.202 0.2)56.76% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (0.161 0.16)77.7% (-0.163 -0.16)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.20400000000001 0.2)28.95% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.253 0.25)64.84% (-0.256 -0.26)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (0.021000000000001 0.02)31.08% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (0.025999999999996 0.03)67.39% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 37.92%
    Cambridge United 34.49%
    Draw 27.58%
MorecambeDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.92%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.49%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Cambridge

Morecambe
30.8%
Draw
17.3%
Cambridge United
51.9%
52
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Cambridge
2-1
Morecambe
Smith (42'), Ironside (71' pen.)
Stockton (68')
Fane (51')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Morecambe
0-2
Cambridge

McDonald (19'), Stockton (45+1'), Ayunga (54'), Price (64')
Worman (28'), Ironside (72' pen.)
Lankester (29'), Smith (78')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
2-1
Morecambe
Mullin (18', 81' pen.)
Taylor (83'), Ironside (87'), Digby (90+3'), Burton (90+4')
Price (88')
Mendes Gomes (51'), Wildig (82')
Gibson (55')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
0-5
Cambridge

Diagouraga (58'), Mendes Gomes (60')
Hoolahan (29'), Turner (34' og.), May (37'), Mullin (54', 64')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
1-1
Cambridge
Phillips (46')
Phillips (55'), Slew (60'), Cooney (92')
Knibbs (68')
Lewis (25'), Maris (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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