Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cambridge United in this match.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Cambridge United |
37.92% ( 0.18) | 27.59% ( -0.06) | 34.49% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 48.97% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.24% ( 0.2) | 56.76% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.29% ( 0.16) | 77.7% ( -0.16) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.04% ( 0.2) | 28.95% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.16% ( 0.25) | 64.84% ( -0.26) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% ( 0.02) | 31.08% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.6% ( 0.03) | 67.39% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.92% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |