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League One
Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Birmingham logo

Charlton
1 - 0
Birmingham

Godden (54')
Ramsay (7'), Coventry (81'), Campbell (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Anderson (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-2 Charlton
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Birmingham City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-2 Birmingham City

 After three straight defeats and a poor start against Bristol Rovers on Tuesday, we are expecting a response from Charlton at The Valley this weekend. That being said, Birmingham are in sensational form and should, on paper, be comfortable winners in the capital, although we believe that Blues will only manage a narrow success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBirmingham City
29.17% (-0.674 -0.67) 25.84% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 45% (0.63 0.63)
Both teams to score 52.48% (-0.523 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (-0.503 -0.5)51.41% (0.504 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.442 -0.44)73.23% (0.444 0.44)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (-0.748 -0.75)32.03% (0.749 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (-0.863 -0.86)68.5% (0.86399999999999 0.86)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21% (0.079999999999998 0.08)22.79% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51% (0.116 0.12)56.49% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 29.17%
    Birmingham City 44.99%
    Draw 25.84%
Charlton AthleticDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.73% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.17%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.98% (0.196 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.94% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 44.99%

How you voted: Charlton vs Birmingham

Charlton Athletic
11.1%
Draw
11.1%
Birmingham City
77.8%
36
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Gillesphey (6'), Berry (15')
Khela (32')
Anderson (27'), Sanderson (53')
Sanderson (78')
Jul 15, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 44
Birmingham
1-1
Charlton
> Match Report
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Pearce (35')
Bellingham (52')
Davis (82'), Dean (90'), Alvaro (97')
> Match Report
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Charlton
2-1
Birmingham
Gudmundsson (38'), Teixeira (94')
Diarra (57'), Gudmundsson (82')
Toral (32')
Grounds (82')
Nov 21, 2015 3pm
Birmingham
0-1
Charlton
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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