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Birmingham logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Walsall

Birmingham
1 - 1
Walsall

Klarer (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lakin (48')
Maher (52'), Stirk (78')
Walsall win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Birmingham City and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Birmingham City 3-1 Walsall

With Walsall not possessing the same strength in depth as their hosts, Blues are heavy favourites for this contest. Although the visitors may get on the scoresheet, we are backing the League One outfit to come through in comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWalsall
45.52% (1.224 1.22) 23.87% (-0.15 -0.15) 30.6% (-1.078 -1.08)
Both teams to score 59.89% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (0.201 0.2)42.07% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52% (0.201 0.2)64.47% (-0.205 -0.2)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29% (0.592 0.59)18.71% (-0.595 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.93% (0.986 0.99)50.06% (-0.989 -0.99)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (-0.58 -0.58)26.32% (0.577 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54% (-0.78 -0.78)61.45% (0.777 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 45.52%
    Walsall 30.6%
    Draw 23.86%
Birmingham CityDrawWalsall
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.111 0.11)
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.92% (0.195 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.87% (0.179 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.105 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.104 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 45.52%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 30.6%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Walsall

Birmingham City
86.6%
Draw
9.0%
Walsall
4.5%
67
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2024 1pm
Club Friendlies 3
Walsall
0-1
Birmingham
May (59')
Jul 19, 2016 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Walsall
1-1
Birmingham
Bakayoko (53' pen.)
Caddis (82')
rhs 2.0
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