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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Birmingham
3 - 1
Wrexham

Stansfield (22', 52'), Iwata (59')
Klarer (36'), Gardner-Hickman (54'), Bielik (81'), Anderson (82')
Bielik (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marriott (3')
Cannon (81'), McClean (81'), Mullin (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Wrexham

The two sides will both head into Monday's game with aspirations of claiming maximum points, but we think that the two in-form sides could cancel one another out which may result in the spoils being shared at St. Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWrexham
51.31% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 23.09% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 25.6% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.67% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (-0.183 -0.18)41.96% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.64% (-0.184 -0.18)64.36% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (-0.101 -0.1)16.45% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.87% (-0.181 -0.18)46.13% (0.182 0.18)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)29.78% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)65.86% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 51.31%
    Wrexham 25.6%
    Draw 23.09%
Birmingham CityDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 51.31%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.93% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 25.6%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Wrexham

Birmingham City
42.2%
Draw
24.0%
Wrexham
33.8%
204
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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