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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Birmingham
3 - 1
Wrexham

Stansfield (22', 52'), Iwata (59')
Klarer (36'), Gardner-Hickman (54'), Bielik (81'), Anderson (82')
Bielik (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marriott (3')
Cannon (81'), McClean (81'), Mullin (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Wrexham

The two sides will both head into Monday's game with aspirations of claiming maximum points, but we think that the two in-form sides could cancel one another out which may result in the spoils being shared at St. Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWrexham
51.31% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 23.09% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 25.6% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.67% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (-0.183 -0.18)41.96% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.64% (-0.184 -0.18)64.36% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (-0.101 -0.1)16.45% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.87% (-0.181 -0.18)46.13% (0.182 0.18)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)29.78% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)65.86% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 51.31%
    Wrexham 25.6%
    Draw 23.09%
Birmingham CityDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 51.31%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.93% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 25.6%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Wrexham

Birmingham City
42.2%
Draw
24.0%
Wrexham
33.8%
204
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham9711179822
2Wrexham106221881020
3Mansfield TownMansfield96211711620
4Lincoln CityLincoln9531158718
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe95221713417
6Stockport CountyStockport9441137616
7Exeter CityExeter9513106416
8Charlton AthleticCharlton10514109116
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield105051411315
10Blackpool104331716115
11Barnsley104331515015
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough114341921-215
13Stevenage1042487114
14Bolton WanderersBolton94231515014
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham113531214-214
16Wigan AthleticWigan1034395413
17Reading94141314-113
18Bristol Rovers104151316-313
19Leyton Orient102261014-48
20Northampton TownNorthampton92251117-68
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury112271320-78
22Crawley TownCrawley10217818-107
23Burton Albion90451019-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge9018617-111


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