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League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Peterborough United

Birmingham
3 - 2
Peterborough

Thor Willumsson (24'), Wallin (49' og.), Bielik (66')
Davies (30'), Dykes (35'), Stansfield (73'), Leonard (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jade-Jones (4'), Fernandez (16')
Fernandez (29'), Sparkes (33'), Kyprianou (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Birmingham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Peterborough United

Scoring five goals across their last two matches, Peterborough should pose a significant threat on the counter at St Andrew's this weekend. Birmingham could have to deal with a setback if Poku is on form for Posh, although we believe that Blues will narrowly earn their sixth straight league victory in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPeterborough United
37.93% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 24.43% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 37.64% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.86% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)42.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.65% (0.018000000000001 0.02)65.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)22.55% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)56.14% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.64% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.93%
    Peterborough United 37.64%
    Draw 24.42%
Birmingham CityDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 8.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.14%
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.54%
2-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.64%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Peterborough

Birmingham City
65.6%
Draw
18.8%
Peterborough United
15.6%
32
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Peterborough
3-2
Birmingham
Poku (4'), Mason-Clark (11'), Kyprianou (13')
Hogan (33'), Jutkiewicz (90')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
2-2
Peterborough
Gardner (85'), Hogan (88')
Marriott (16'), Clarke-Harris (67' pen.)
Kent (45+1')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Peterborough
3-0
Birmingham
Dean (1' og.), Clarke-Harris (35' pen.), Grant (50')
Kent (70'), Butler (90+2')

Woods (35'), Aneke (74')
Gardner (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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