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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
49.31% | 24.86% | 25.83% |
Both teams to score 53.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.53% | 49.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.49% | 71.51% |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.91% | 20.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.67% | 52.33% |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.39% | 33.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.74% | 70.25% |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-0 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.79% Total : 49.3% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.36% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.33% Total : 25.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |