Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.