League One | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2020 at 7pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Crewe4 - 2Swindon
Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Swindon Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 44.47% | 25.76% | 29.77% |
| Both teams to score 53.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.22% | 50.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.33% | 72.67% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% | 22.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.54% | 56.46% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% | 31.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.39% | 67.61% |
| Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra 44.47%
Swindon Town 29.78%
Draw 25.75%
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.47% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 4.81% 1-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.78% |
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Form Guide
