League One

League One | Gameweek 16

Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
1 - 4
MK Dons

Long (52')
Lloyd-Bennett (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Eisa (12'), O'Riley (64'), Daniels (82' og.), Watters (90+6')
Twine (58')

Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	MK Dons
25.9%	24.74%	49.36%

Both teams to score 53.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.05%

48.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.97%

71.03%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.73%

33.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.12%

69.88%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.14%

19.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.04%

51.96%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 25.9%

MK Dons 49.36%

Draw 24.74%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 7.27% 2-1 @ 6.47% 2-0 @ 4% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.4% Total : 25.9%	1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-2 @ 8.63% 1-3 @ 5.12% 0-3 @ 4.65% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 2.07% 0-4 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.87% Total : 49.36%