Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.