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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
29.24% ( 1.02) | 26.54% ( 0.15) | 44.22% ( -1.16) |
Both teams to score 50.37% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.85% ( -0.08) | 54.15% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.43% ( -0.07) | 75.57% ( 0.07) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.59% ( 0.73) | 33.41% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.96% ( 0.8) | 70.04% ( -0.8) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.65% ( -0.6) | 24.35% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.25% ( -0.85) | 58.75% ( 0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.24% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.58% Total : 44.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |