League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Fleetwood1 - 2Oxford Utd
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-1 QPR
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-3 Arsenal
Monday, January 9 at 8pm in FA Cup
Monday, January 9 at 8pm in FA Cup
We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Oxford United
After a close encounter between these two at the Kassam Stadium in November last year, in which they shared the spoils of the points, we forecast a similar outcome in Lancashire on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Oxford United |
36.5% ( -0.13) | 25.96% ( 0.01) | 37.54% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
