Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.