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Championship header 2

League One
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Burton Albion

Fleetwood
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Stockley (58'), Omochere (90+4')
Vela (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oshilaja (60'), Hamer (80'), Kirk (90+6')
Ashworth (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Burton Albion

 Games involving Fleetwood Town always seem to be tight affairs, and that is why we expect them to play out a draw against Burton Albion on Saturday. The Brewers were very impressive in their victory against Oxford United last time out, but the sides are very evenly-matched, and it is unlikely either team runs away with it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawBurton Albion
44.26% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 25.61% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 30.13% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.76% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)49.99% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)71.97% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)22.53% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.89% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)56.11% (0.07 0.07)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (-0.012 -0.01)30.61% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)66.84% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 44.25%
    Burton Albion 30.13%
    Draw 25.6%
Fleetwood TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 30.13%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Burton Albion
0-1
Fleetwood

Oshilaja (19')
Macadam (34')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Fleetwood
Niasse (61', 90'), Moult (84')
Hamer (37')
Oshilaja (18' og.), Butterworth (57')
Nsiala (14'), Garner (36')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Fleetwood
1-2
Burton Albion
Garner (12')
Clarke (70')
Powell (14'), Jebbison (77')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Fleetwood
0-1
Burton Albion
O'Connor (36')
Blake-Tracy (33'), Borthwick-Jackson (84')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Burton Albion
5-2
Fleetwood
Akins (35'), Powell (39'), Hamer (73'), Hemmings (85', 90+5')
Earl (27'), Hemmings (74'), Taylor (78')
Finley (62'), Rossiter (90+2')
Biggins (45+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Buccaneers
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Chiefs
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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