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Championship header 2

League One
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Burton Albion

Fleetwood
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Stockley (58'), Omochere (90+4')
Vela (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oshilaja (60'), Hamer (80'), Kirk (90+6')
Ashworth (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Burton Albion

 Games involving Fleetwood Town always seem to be tight affairs, and that is why we expect them to play out a draw against Burton Albion on Saturday. The Brewers were very impressive in their victory against Oxford United last time out, but the sides are very evenly-matched, and it is unlikely either team runs away with it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawBurton Albion
44.26% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 25.61% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 30.13% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.76% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)49.99% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)71.97% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)22.53% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.89% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)56.11% (0.07 0.07)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (-0.012 -0.01)30.61% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)66.84% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 44.25%
    Burton Albion 30.13%
    Draw 25.6%
Fleetwood TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 30.13%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Burton Albion
0-1
Fleetwood

Oshilaja (19')
Macadam (34')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Fleetwood
Niasse (61', 90'), Moult (84')
Hamer (37')
Oshilaja (18' og.), Butterworth (57')
Nsiala (14'), Garner (36')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Fleetwood
1-2
Burton Albion
Garner (12')
Clarke (70')
Powell (14'), Jebbison (77')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Fleetwood
0-1
Burton Albion
O'Connor (36')
Blake-Tracy (33'), Borthwick-Jackson (84')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Burton Albion
5-2
Fleetwood
Akins (35'), Powell (39'), Hamer (73'), Hemmings (85', 90+5')
Earl (27'), Hemmings (74'), Taylor (78')
Finley (62'), Rossiter (90+2')
Biggins (45+4')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138
> League One Full Table


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