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Championship header 2

League One
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Burton Albion

Fleetwood
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Stockley (58'), Omochere (90+4')
Vela (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oshilaja (60'), Hamer (80'), Kirk (90+6')
Ashworth (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Burton Albion

 Games involving Fleetwood Town always seem to be tight affairs, and that is why we expect them to play out a draw against Burton Albion on Saturday. The Brewers were very impressive in their victory against Oxford United last time out, but the sides are very evenly-matched, and it is unlikely either team runs away with it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawBurton Albion
44.26% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 25.61% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 30.13% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.76% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)49.99% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)71.97% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)22.53% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.89% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)56.11% (0.07 0.07)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (-0.012 -0.01)30.61% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)66.84% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 44.25%
    Burton Albion 30.13%
    Draw 25.6%
Fleetwood TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 30.13%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Burton Albion
0-1
Fleetwood

Oshilaja (19')
Macadam (34')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Fleetwood
Niasse (61', 90'), Moult (84')
Hamer (37')
Oshilaja (18' og.), Butterworth (57')
Nsiala (14'), Garner (36')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Fleetwood
1-2
Burton Albion
Garner (12')
Clarke (70')
Powell (14'), Jebbison (77')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Fleetwood
0-1
Burton Albion
O'Connor (36')
Blake-Tracy (33'), Borthwick-Jackson (84')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Burton Albion
5-2
Fleetwood
Akins (35'), Powell (39'), Hamer (73'), Hemmings (85', 90+5')
Earl (27'), Hemmings (74'), Taylor (78')
Finley (62'), Rossiter (90+2')
Biggins (45+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham20153237162148
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe21145246222447
3Wrexham22136333151845
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield21133535181742
5Stockport CountyStockport22106634231136
6Reading2110473431334
7Barnsley229673131033
8Mansfield TownMansfield209472622431
9Lincoln CityLincoln228772826231
10Bolton WanderersBolton209472931-231
11Charlton AthleticCharlton218672520530
12Exeter CityExeter219392223-130
13Leyton Orient218492620628
14Wigan AthleticWigan217682018227
15Blackpool217683033-327
16Stevenage207581520-526
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2173113840-224
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham206591922-323
19Bristol Rovers2164111932-1322
20Northampton TownNorthampton2256112238-1621
21Crawley TownCrawley2154122036-1619
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2145122137-1617
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2143142241-1915
24Burton Albion2126131734-1712
> League One Full Table


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