We said: Charlton Athletic 3-1 Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood will be brimming with belief after reaching the fifth round of the FA Cup, but Charlton are also full of confidence at the moment, having turned their campaign around under Holden.
While the Addicks have won four of their last five league games, the Fishermen have lost six of their previous seven, so we expect the hosts to claim all three points on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.