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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
37.72% ( -0.01) | 26.11% ( -0.02) | 36.17% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.86% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.36% ( 0.07) | 50.64% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.45% ( 0.06) | 72.55% ( -0.06) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.84% ( 0.03) | 26.16% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.76% ( 0.04) | 61.24% ( -0.04) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.95% ( 0.04) | 27.05% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.58% ( 0.05) | 62.42% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.72% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 36.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |