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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Exeter City |
36.68% ( -0.36) | 26.46% ( -0.15) | 36.86% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 52.7% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.88% ( 0.64) | 52.12% ( -0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.15% ( 0.55) | 73.84% ( -0.55) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.54% ( 0.1) | 27.46% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.05% ( 0.12) | 62.95% ( -0.12) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.65% ( 0.61) | 27.35% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.19% ( 0.78) | 62.81% ( -0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.68% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |