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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
MK Dons

Exeter
1 - 0
MK Dons

Diabate (66')
Grounds (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Harvie (70')
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawMK Dons
44.25% (1.606 1.61) 26.73% (-0.527 -0.53) 29.01% (-1.08 -1.08)
Both teams to score 49.67% (0.997 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99% (1.541 1.54)55% (-1.541 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (1.256 1.26)76.27% (-1.257 -1.26)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (1.513 1.51)24.71% (-1.513 -1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.74% (2.069 2.07)59.26% (-2.071 -2.07)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.97% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)34.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.71%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 44.25%
    MK Dons 29.01%
    Draw 26.73%
Exeter CityDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 8.22% (0.222 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.283 0.28)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.262 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.152 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.156 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 8.41% (-0.515 -0.51)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.556 -0.56)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.299 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.01%

Head to Head
Feb 2, 2019 3pm
Exeter
3-1
MK Dons
Law (7', 72'), Taylor (17')
Sweeney (6')
Walsh (48')
Cargill (58'), Houghton (73'), Gilbey (95')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-0
Exeter
Agard (65' pen.)
Agard (17'), D'Ath (90')

Moxey (37'), Stockley (64')
Moxey (55')
Mar 10, 2012 3pm
Aug 13, 2011 3pm
Jan 8, 2011 3pm
Exeter
1-1
MK Dons
Cureton (8')
Duffy (24'), Cozic (53'), Dunne (81'), Sercombe (86')

Doumbé (59'), MacKenzie (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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